Don't care if you do it. I'm posting to bust excuses more for those lurking and reading anyway. This is just discussion.
Don't be disingenuous.
What evidence do you have that a lengthy and complicated welcome sequence is a marketing best practice, and that those who opt for a different strategy are, in your words, "just looking for a reason not to do some of the marketing work"?
In my first post on this thread, I presented some recent statistics from my list to show that I'm not just full of sh*t. If your goal is truly to "bust excuses," why haven't you done the same?
My email lists are my greatest assets. That said, I've not come across any author who does email like me (I follow hundreds).
I get that some people are averse to building and maintaining an engaged list. It's not for everyone. But I wouldn't sell nearly as much as I do without my lists.
I definitely believe that it's important to build and maintain an engaged list. I just don't think you need a lengthy and complicated welcome sequence to do it.
Some readers love having frequent personal contact with their favorite authors. Others, like Lynn, are just in it for the books, and everything else is fluff. For the latter group, sharing pictures of your kids or asking which Hogwarts house is the best is counterproductive and likely to tun them off. That's why I believe that a lengthy and complicated welcome sequence isn't the best general strategy.
I do try to send at least one welcome email that explains what my readers can expect. I also try to answer all the reader emails that I get, and I get a fair amount of those in response to every newsletter. But I also know that I have plenty of readers who only skim over my emails. They'll click through if they see something they like, but that's about it.
You didn't provide any stats that show welcome sequences don't work. Posting your own stats isn't that. I've done my research on email marketing and know why it works. I'm not married to it, one day it might be useless. But it isn't now. It's simple process that anyone must do. Which is again, work some don't want to do. I don't get it because I'm a believer in the principle of Slight Edge - that you should work on and find any avenue to increase your own chance of success. Which means ton and ton of work, some of which stinks.
Welcome sequences work due to people not being always in a 'buying now' mode or in the case of giveaways, readers being completely uninvested in the author yet. Thus they are perfect because they are long term play, it's about building a relationship over time, with repetition and providing value. Many people are also forgetful due to huge amount of content noise these days.
I also mention you can have welcome sequence only for those that are from giveaways and have no such thing for people who come from your website or books. So I don't just say you must have welcome sequence all the time. Neither they have to be some highly complicated things with ton of conditions and other stuff, you make them to be a big beast, to me a great sequence can be 5 emails with just text providing value. That's it.
In general, email lists are still underused tool as many authors still somehow equate them to spam and don't use them... Which shows zero education on what email lists are and how they work. Judgment before learning. Welcome sequences have a bit of similar feel too as authors are scared to be overwhelming with emails. But all these are myths that, despite many best efforts still don't get listened to. There may be plenty of blog posts and advice saying email lists are great but many many authors still don't use them.
There is an argument to be made that 'I don't like them so I don't use them' as we should be able to build careers as close to being free from work we don't want to do as possible. But that's not gonna happen 100%. We're grownups and part of it is knowing that sacrifice will happen. Want something, esp. something that exchanges money with you from other people? Then you'll have to do the work and some of that work will be what you don't like. And the bigger the ambition level, the more of that lame work will need to be done (or outsourced but that's not easy to afford for most).
Worst thing, email lists are so easy and simple compared to other work that authors may not like, that it's ridiculous. Other industries need to do seriously more work than marketing books, book marketing is not rocket science at all. I wish it was enough to just click a few buttons to order a BookBub campaign, but it won't. But at least authors don't need to leave their home at all, don't need to shlep across the country with bags of books to do signing, or attend conferences or write free articles to educate readers (like service professionals do), don't even need to worry too much about SEO. Marketing books is quite simple. But the prevalence of 'I don't like' or 'I don't understand' marketing is ridiculously high still. Not aimed at this forum alone, this is an observation of whole internet communities of authors in my last 8+ years being in industry.
Hopefully, it gets better. But still way way too much of this.