I know posts about declines in sales ore pagereads are tiresome, but... is it just my imagination, or have pagereads really tanked lately? I've never seen it this low, and I've been publishing since well before the first KUpocalypse.
I think Amazon changed their algorithm again.
I saw a big drop not long ago, but my latest release was about normal for that series.
But the drop off after seems to accelerate with each new book.
I'm not doing any advertising, especially since my last attempt proved to be AMS ripping me off and ignoring my daily limit, but I've felt for a long time that the lack of an ad adds push down points to your books.
I'm finding there is a lot less tail to a release now, and even monthly releases are not often enough to keep up the momentum I achieved for most of 2020 with a 6 week schedule.
Currently, it's hard to know if it's algorithms, the way they count pages, or the pandemic.
I was all in KU last fall. Then I put my popular 12-book series wide for a bit, with a Bookbub on book 1. They ran my book in Fantasy rather than a mystery category, so it didn't do as well as it had in the past, but it did a little better on iTunes.
I cycle back and forth between KU and wide because I find that's the most profitable.
So, I went back into KU in February, and my sales plummeted, cannibalized by KU. More than usual, but not unexpected. However, unlike the past, there was no bump from KU. I'm now earning less on Amazon, in KU, than I was earning with sales alone on Amazon two months earlier. (Books are $4.99, 75-80k words.)
For the first time ever, I'll be taking that series out of KU just to stop losing money on Amazon, never mind the other platforms.
It's possible my niche (paranormal cozy) is overfished. But it's hard to believe it happened in 5 months when I've been in that genre for 5 years. Yes, it's been gradually getting more crowded, but this felt like an overnight change.
I have some wacky theories that perhaps a significant portion of the pagereads in the system (like a third or half of them even) could be fraud from clickfarms, and the difference is whether or not the clickfarms "read" your books as cover. My reason for thinking this is that it's always the pagereads that are so unpredictable and mystifying, whereas sales continue to be about what I expect.